The impact of the Bitcoin halving on crypto prices is often overestimated and the next halving, set for April 2024, may play out differently than previous ones, according to a leading analyst.

The halving event, which every four years, cuts in half the rate by which new Bitcoins are created, and is generally considered one of the main catalysts driving Bitcoin’s biggest upside moves.

Despite the bullish narrative surrounding the halving, however, the event by itself does not guarantee the appreciation of Bitcoin.

If the reduced supply of new Bitcoin is not accompanied by significant demand, prices are unlikely to surge.

Also, the halving is an entirely predictable event: that means all market participants know in advance when it will occur and therefore its current price may already be reflective of the halving’s impact before it happens.

“Things that we most anticipate generally don’t happen,” said Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone, commenting on the much anticipated event.

“And that’s what I’m concerned about. It’s complete consensus,” he continued.

Also, each time the halving occurs, its impact on the new Bitcoin supply decreases; over time, its impact will eventually become irrelevant. Changes in demand, rather than supply, are therefore becoming the dominant factor influencing the price of Bitcoin.

So, how will the next Bitcoin halving impact the crypto market? And, if not the halving, what is the catalysts behind Bitcoin’s cyclical upside moves?  To find out, check out our latest Cointelegraph Report on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe!

The world is interested in crypto. In the United States and European Union, individual investors have shown they are intrigued by its possibilities, while emerging economies are leveraging it to expand access to financial services. This, of course, is attracting the focus of legislators who want to both tap into crypto’s potential and ensure investors and consumers are well-protected. But with crypto’s international footprint, new and dynamic technologies, and built-in anonymity, it’s a challenge to protect users’ privacy and police unlawful activity.

It’s likely impossible for regulators to walk the fine line between encouraging innovation and protecting consumers without developing adaptable, deliberate and internationally coordinated regulatory measures — and for that, they need the help of crypto leaders. It’s an effort well worth those leaders’ time if they wish to enhance industry credibility, attract new users and avoid complex (even punitive) legislation that could hinder innovation. Below, 12 members of Cointelegraph Innovation Circle offer practical tips for crypto leaders on working individually and as an industry with regulators for the benefit of both sides — and the future. 

Focus on use cases without specific binary regulatory requirements

The involvement of leaders who are tech-savvy and understand how regulatory systems apply is important. Financial systems and technology were very different when regulations were first developed. Consumer protection and market integrity are still the primary objectives, but the means to achieve them have changed. Leaders can add value by working with regulators to focus on use cases without specific binary regulatory requirements. – Tammy Paola, Zerocap

Prioritize transparency and education

Engage proactively with regulators, prioritizing transparency and education. Understand their concerns and position your dialogue as a partnership. Demonstrating a commitment to ethical practices and consumer protection can foster mutual trust and clearer regulatory pathways. – Tomer Warschauer Nuni, Kryptomon

Recognize that regulation can be an ally

Crypto leaders should recognize that regulation can be an ally. Crypto’s “Wild West” nature invites scammers like FTX and Terra, so embracing regulation with thoughtful collaboration helps the ecosystem as a whole, allowing the crypto industry to become more secure and credible while protecting investors. Leaders should encourage transparency and responsible practices, and work with regulators to build trust in the industry. – Ayelet Noff, SlicedBrand

Document everything regulators tell you

Engage with your regulators, but document everything that they have told you, especially promises or implied support. Know everything there is about applicable laws in your country, and try to stay clear of flagrant violations of those laws. Always know when they are trying to pitch a novel argument to the courts, and know how to defend yourself. – Zain Jaffer, Zain Ventures

Help assuage regulators’ concerns

Approach the conversation from the perspective of assuaging regulators’ concerns. Often when seeking to craft legislation, regulators approach the industry and are met with distrust or even hostility. Businesses should focus on educating and informing governments about the priorities of the industry and how they can get there while not risking contagion to other parts of the financial system. – Jason Fernandes, AdLunam Inc.

Listen closely to regulators’ input

In the world of music, crypto is avant-garde jazz, while regulators are more attuned to classical notes. To make harmonious music, listen closely, blend your innovative riffs with their timeless chords, and compose a symphony of progress together. It’s not about overpowering, but about creating a new genre that resonates with all. – Arvin Khamseh, SOLDOUT NFTs

Help shape regulations that benefit both sides

Let’s keep in mind that many regulators are in the process of grasping and understanding the Web3 industry. Hence, every Web3 company should contribute to shaping regulations that benefit both sides. The most effective approach involves showing a readiness to cooperate, tackle concerns and educate regulators, fostering the most favorable outcomes possible. – Sheraz Ahmed, STORM Partners

Consider how similar companies in the industry can work together

Build upon the premise that we will get farther together. Even companies working on the same or similar products should consider how they can work together to achieve goals beyond their individual growth. The industry is still in its infancy, and we will find mainstream adoption and tremendous success together, especially when working with regulators. – Megan Nyvold, BingX

Be cautious, compliant and patient

Regulators aim to make things the best they can for all parties involved, but sometimes that process takes time. This is why it’s always a good idea to be cautious and compliant while also being hyper aware that things may not work out at first. Documenting everything and helping to find solutions is recommended, as this space is a work in progress for everyone — but the end goal is the same. – Ilias Salvatore, Flooz XYZ

Offer direct and clear assistance toward shared goals

As a cousin of trust, transparency should be top of mind for companies seeking to collaborate and build strong foundations with regulators across any jurisdiction. These officials are in place to protect the safety and security of participants in their region. By offering direct and clear assistance toward that goal, crypto leaders can make sure understanding is sustained through mutual respect. – Oleksandr Lutskevych, CEX.IO

Address myths and false information about crypto

My advice for crypto leaders is that they try to deal with the myths and false information that has been revolving around crypto as an ecosystem. Many of these myths can be addressed through accurate data. For example, the drawbacks of proof-of-work are used to malign the image of the entire world of cryptocurrencies. Another example is working against the image of crypto being used to avoid taxation. – Abhishek Singh, Acknoledger

Proactively undergo third-party audits and certifications

Leverage third-party audits and certifications to show compliance and security. Regulators may not be blockchain experts, but they understand audits. Proactively undergoing these evaluations can make a compelling case for your project’s legitimacy, potentially speeding up regulatory approvals and fostering a cooperative relationship with authorities. – Tiago Serôdio, Partisia Blockchain

This article was published through Cointelegraph Innovation Circle, a vetted organization of senior executives and experts in the blockchain technology industry who are building the future through the power of connections, collaboration and thought leadership. Opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Cointelegraph.

Cointelegraph’s Hashing It Out podcast talked with MultiChainZ chief operating officer Aanchal Thakur to discuss a popular decentralized finance (DeFi) use case: lending. Host Elisha Owusu Akyaw and Thakur explored what makes a cross-chain lending platform different from other platforms and the potential risks it entails. Other highlights include conversations about institutions, DeFi lending, nonfungible token lending, and how projects embrace decentralized autonomous governance. 

Thakur started her cryptocurrency journey by falling for a crypto doubling scam, which she claims taught her an important lesson to take her research of the industry more seriously. She went on to work on multiple projects before moving to MultiChainZ.

Thakur argued there is a strong case for building a cross-chain lending platform. She explained that funds are unavailable for many people globally, and that creating a lending and borrowing platform that cuts across multiple networks opens users up to more sources of liquidity.

The MultiChainZ exec also argued that overreliance on a single network may expose projects to a high level of risk. She explained that one of the proper ways to ensure decentralization is to use multiple networks.

“If a blockchain is not working for even two hours, when Solana was down for a few hours, it impacted so many users. It impacted the trust of those users. So, we realized that it does not make sense to build a product on a particular blockchain.“